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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (54471)	7/15/2004 8:23:10 PM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793903

Hard to read. Looks to me like they went from 33.7% to 48.9%??? I think the point of the numbers is that the rate was increasing well before 1990, so gay-lesbian marriage could not account for that rate. The rate of increase decreased, however, in the two five year blocks after. Went from 69% to 31% to 10%. So, not only did gay-lesbian marriage increase the rate of growth; it actually slowed down.

To: LindyBill who wrote (54471)	7/15/2004 9:01:50 PM
From: Lane3	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 793903

Looks to me like they went from 33.7% to 48.9%??? Yes. It's a forty five percent increase during the decade that followed. Which seems like a lot until you look at the trend line. In the decade that preceded the gay marriage thing, the increase was one hundred seventy two percent. So, going from a rate of 172 to a rate of 45 is hardly an explosion. It's a dramatic slow down. Someone's with an agenda is twisting the numbers all out of shape. Either that or is just stupid. If one wants to insert causality where it doesn't belong, the converse would at least look better on the surface, that gay marriage has slowed out of wedlock births. Of course, I would never confuse correlation and causality, but the illogic sure didn't stop the folks who put out that particular urban legend of yours. In the US, by comparison, the rate of increase in the eighties was sixty percent. In the nineties it was eighteen percent. So the rate has slowed here, too. Funny, we don't have gay marriage here to explain that. Actually, the rate of decrease is slightly greater in Norway than in the US. Funny, that, too. The source for my US data is acf.hhs.gov. Any calculation errors are strictly mine...<g>