Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (51740)	7/23/2004 2:12:05 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

<Now, what you may hope for is simply not likely to be, because history is hardly ever on the minority side of a conflict, sadly, but generally so.> Jay, who has the numbers? Do the numbers matter? 40 million Red Guards, fully armed and equipped with a rifle and a bayonet would have been a formidable array when Genghis Khan was civilizing the world, and China ruled all of the Americas, Polynesia, Japan, Taiwan, down through south Asia and right across to Europe and down into Turkey or thereabouts and an onager [a kind of ass] was an excellent troop carrier, and another version of onager was good for catapulting missiles over walls into forts and castles. Nowadays, numbers are less important than cash flow and technology. The USA doesn't even use people in a lot of weapons systems. Some kid 5000 km away pilots the automatic weapon carrier vehicle. History is on the side of those with the overall superiority, which involves many parameters more than simple numbers and 'majority'. There are a lot more sheep than people in NZ, but guess who goes to the abattoir? I think with timely adoption of CDMA2000, all can be smoothed over and all made happy. A blockade of China, as per the blockade of Japan before WWII would create some difficulties for China. USA citizens would have to buy from India or Indonesia or Pakistan or Brazil or Mexico or somewhere else. China would put out a sell notice on anything with USD on it, which would cause a LOT of fun in the financial markets. China would learn, again, that fighting and belligerence might be a lot of fun [unless one is the one on the wrong end of the sharp implement], but is not such a good idea in the long run, or even the short run. 6 billion people around the world do not want to have international mayhem and carnage. I think 6 billion versus 1.3 billion [of whom I dare say about 1 billion also don't want mayhem and carnage] means the minority is the few people in China, who should learn to respect We the Sheeple. We don't take kindly to threats of violence and carnage. China would have to go without 3G CDMA, the WTO arrangements could be upset, the Olympic Games disrupted, the 3G water management and power supply system interrupted, which would be a great shame. When the consequence of a small matter is a very big and very bad outcome, it's usually best to deal with the small matter in a better way. Preferably with friendly co-operation. I would not want to be a sailor in one of China's swanky new submarines. Those things sink and it's tough to get out from the bottom of the ocean in the cold and dark, with high pressure and not much air. See the Kursk for example. Mqurice