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Politics : GOPwinger Lies/Distortions/Omissions/Perversions of Truth -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Kelvin Taylor who wrote (17356)	8/3/2004 4:09:58 PM
From: shadowman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 173976

Greetings...Here's a bunch of polls. I'm not seeing a lot for an incumbent president (or his backers) to be excited about. Maybe you can find something? Even the poll that you cited shows a slight improvement in Kerry's numbers compared to the week previous. pollingreport.com

To: Kelvin Taylor who wrote (17356)	8/3/2004 5:13:22 PM
From: American Spirit	Respond to of 173976

These polls will keep changing. The good news is that other polls show Kerry up by 6-8% but so many people have already decided that no big bounces are possible, just a few points up or down in battleground states. It's going to be a fierce ground game in places like Ohio, Florida and Missouri, fighting over a few percent of the vote. Voter turn-out will be the biggest decider of all. That means advantage Kerry because there are a lot of Republicans who can no longer trust Bush. The national vote will be very close, but a few states will decide. Maybe even one state. Maybe even Florida again.

To: Kelvin Taylor who wrote (17356)	8/3/2004 5:47:36 PM
From: jttmab	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 173976

"The USA Today/CNN/Gallup poll of 763 likely voters found Bush leading Kerry by a margin of 50 percent to 46 percent, with Nader drawing 2 percent. Before the convention, Kerry had support from 47 percent to Bush's 46 percent, USA Today said." If 49% really disapprove how come Kerry is going down? 763 likely voters is a little short for a headcount...I like to see over 1,000 to get the margin of error down to 3%. Given the margin of error of both polls they are statistically flat. jttmab