To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (10323 ) 8/7/2004 10:58:48 PM From: mishedlo Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116555 The Election and The Stock Market The charts show both the S&P and Bush peaking at the time Howard Dean looked to be the Democratic nominee. Since "the investor class," (and many other observers) considered Dean a far-out extremist, he would be an even easier punching bag for Bush than Michael Dukakis had been for his father. So when Kerry got the nomination, instead of a presumed wacko, they were looking at a proven war hero, which meant the election was no longer a shoo-in for Bush. Since then, Kerry has united the Democratic Party to a degree it hasn't seen since the Roosevelt era, and he has pulled to a lead in the polls. His ascent has meant investors have had to reconsider a whole range of investment topics they thought were closed—including dividends and drug stocks. That re-examination has come during a time when news from Iraq was discouraging for Americans in general—not just Republicans or investors. That Kerry is, in effect, the beneficiary of all that bad news abroad and all that Bush hatred abroad is no reason to demean Kerry (Basic Points routinely praised Clinton as a serious President who will be respected by historians, because he used his formidable powers of persuasion to move the Democratic Party into a modernist position on trade and welfare, freeing it from some of its more reactionary vested interests.) Kerry talks of how to ensure that employers can continue to provide health care for employees, his policies on Iraq now sound almost indistinguishable from what Bush is actually trying to do, and his comments on trade are now, as we say, nuanced. Kerry, a highly intelligent man who was a college debating champion, sounds more and more like a credible President. (Indeed, his vocal fluency contrasts sharply with the President's notorious verbal clumsiness.) Kerry's night at the conclusion of the Convention was a brilliantly-scripted presentation of the candidate as the ideal Commander in Chief. The bio film setting the stage for his appearance, supervised by the master—Spielberg— had dazzling footage of war in Vietnam. Then Kerry's "Band of Brothers" who had served in his swift boats, appeared to praise him as a cool, gutsy hero who fearlessly risked his life to protect his men. His own speech began with a military salute—the scene now on front pages across the land. He came across as a man who really knows what war is about, a man who chose to serve in an unpopular war because of family values of national service. (The unstated subtext was that Bush, another patrician, had arranged to serve in air national guard, exempting himself from joining the fighting.) He looked like a leader comfortable in his own skin, the kind the nation can trust at a time of national crisis. It could well prove to have been the speech that sends him to the White House, because he had until then been facing doubts about his ability to manage in crisis. Watching from his ranch in Texas, Bush must have had a rough evening. He now has overwhelming media support, greater than any Presidential candidate since Jimmy Carter, and because of tax-exempt "527s" like MoveOn.org. he is matching Bush in spending. [Who is saying this preposterous stuff? It is none other than those bastions of liberalism, Harris Bank in the USA and the Bank of Montreal in Canada. BTW the article blasts Edwards so no doubt there is fodder for the Neocons in there. Mish] Here is the funniest line in the Edwards blast......Sadly, Bush is so verbally-challenged that it is improbable that he will really take the case to Edwards and his wealthy allies. LMAO start on page 15corporate.bmo.com