Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (53246)	9/12/2004 4:34:14 AM
From: EL KABONG!!!	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Hi Jay, I neither endorse nor disagree with the following; simply not clear yet. If I had to bet, I would bet Krassimir_Petrov is wrong, but I do not have to bet, at least not yet. I would agree with Dr. Petrov for the simple reason that history often repeats itself. As a general rule of thumb, mankind does not always learn from history, and is prone to repeat the same mistakes committed by ancestors... As for a time frame, I have none, other than to speculate that I think it will be much further out than 2009, maybe in the 2015 - 2020 range. As for the potential triggers leading up to a Chinese Great Depression, I would include the possibility of a global epidemic, something along the lines of SARS, only much more devastating... KJC

To: TobagoJack who wrote (53246)	9/12/2004 11:12:57 AM
From: Ramsey Su	Respond to of 74559

Jay, speaking of apples and oranges. While I would not bet whether a depression in China is a possibility, I am willing to bet that this Petrov person is one confused pedant. Comparing China today with the US before the great depression is worse than trying to jam that square peg in the round hole. Ramsey