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Politics : Proof that John Kerry is Unfit for Command -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: American Spirit who wrote (13793)	9/29/2004 11:27:17 PM
From: Ann Corrigan	Respond to of 27181

Is Kerry wearing his orange glo in support of citrus growers in FLA?

To: American Spirit who wrote (13793)	9/30/2004 4:02:41 PM
From: Glenn Petersen	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 27181

I think that the Florida lead is for real. According to the following USA Today article, the Bush brothers are getting high marks for the hurricane relief efforts. yahoo.com Bush ahead in Ohio, Fla. and Pa., but Kerry making gains By Bill Nichols, USA TODAY President Bush (news - web sites) has widened his advantage with likely voters in Florida, taken the lead in Pennsylvania and maintains a small margin over John Kerry (news - web sites) in Ohio, according to a USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll of three key states. (Related item: Poll results) There also is good news for Kerry, however. The senator from Massachusetts has reduced Bush's lead in Ohio in the past three weeks and trails within the poll's margin of error, +/- 4 percentage points, in Ohio and Pennsylvania. Among registered voters, rather than only those deemed likely to vote, Kerry leads Bush in Ohio and Pennsylvania. "This shows while this race has yet to be won by either candidate, the momentum has shifted very dramatically in John Kerry's direction," Kerry campaign pollster Mark Mellman says. The Bush campaign did not respond to requests for comment. Independent analysts say that although the polls show a Bush advantage, however slight, the three states remain too close to call. "Anybody who thinks this race is over is kind of leaping before they're looking," says Stuart Rothenberg, editor of an independent political newsletter. "We've seen a variety of polls that show a variety of leads and margins, and I just think there are more to come." The nation is divided between staunchly Democratic and Republican states, and the campaign has focused largely on about a dozen states that were decided narrowly in 2000 and are essential to reaching the 270 Electoral College (news - web sites) votes needed to be elected president. USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Polls in the past month, since the parties' national conventions, show Bush leading with likely voters in eight of 11 battleground states, including four won by Vice President Gore four years ago. Likely voters are identified by their answers to seven poll questions on how much thought they are giving to the election, whether they plan to vote in November and how often they say they have voted in the past. Bush's lead in four of those eight states is within the margin of error. But analysts say Kerry is now having to defend states Democrats won in 2000 rather than try to steal away states Bush won. Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania have a total of 68 electoral votes. Experts say Kerry must win two of the three to win the presidency. Bush won Florida - after a Supreme Court review - and Ohio in 2000. Gore won Pennsylvania. State-by-state details: • In Florida, Bush leads Kerry 52%-43% among likely voters in a poll taken Sept. 24-27.Bush leads 49%-44% among registered voters. That is a gain for Bush from a poll taken Sept. 18-22, when he led 49%-46% among likely voters and 47%-45% among registered voters. Susan MacManus, a political scientist at the University of South Florida-Tampa, says Bush's lead may be due in part to action by the federal government and Gov. Jeb Bush, the president's brother, after four hurricanes ravaged the state. "The Bush brothers have gotten high marks for responsiveness to a state in need," she says. Gallup said all parts of the state were fully represented, despite disastrous weather. Most of the interviewing in central and northern Florida was finished before Hurricane Jeanne hit over the weekend. • In Ohio, Bush leads 49%-47% among likely voters in a poll taken Sept. 25-28. That is a smaller lead for Bush than he had in a poll taken Sept. 4-7, when he led 52%-43% among likely voters. Among registered voters, Kerry leads 49%-46%. Bush led 47%-46% among registered voters in the Sept. 4-7 poll. • In Pennsylvania, Bush leads 49%-46% among likely voters in a poll taken Sept. 25-28. Kerry leads 49%-45% among registered voters. In a poll taken Aug. 23-26, Bush and Kerry were tied at 47% among likely voters. Among registered voters, Kerry led 49%-43%.