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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ChinuSFO who wrote (51126)	10/3/2004 5:39:54 AM
From: Henry Niman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 81568

Bird Flu in Florida? The confirmation of avian flu in a dog in Thailand was just announced recombinomics.com This result has an interesting US connection, because earlier this year there was a bird flu outbreak in racing greyhpounds in Florida (which temporarily closed many of their race tracks). The avian flu in dogs was a first in Florida. Now it has also been confirmed in Thailand, where probable human to human transmsion of avian flu was announced last week recombinomics.com Flu season is coming along with the November elections.

To: ChinuSFO who wrote (51126)	10/3/2004 12:57:00 PM
From: Glenn Petersen	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 81568

I would be careful not to read too much into the Newsweek poll numbers. It has been my personal opinion that Bush had a five or six point lead going into the first debate. I suspect that it is now down to two or three points. The September 11, 2004 Newsweek poll that gave Bush an eleven point lead was heavily weighted with Republicans. The new poll has a slight Democratic bias. Message 20594570 Look at the makeup of Republicans vs. Democrats in Newsweek’s poll from September 11, 2004: NEWSWEEK POLL: Campaign 2004. 391 Republicans (plus or minus 6) 300 Democrats (plus or minus 7) 270 Independents (plus or minus 7) Compare against the same data from the new poll, which Newsweek is using to claim that Bush’s poll lead has “evaporated:” NEWSWEEK POLL: First Presidential Debate. 345 Republicans (plus or minus 6) 364 Democrats (plus or minus 6) 278 Independents (plus or minus 7) The current LA Times poll results suggest that Kerry's pickup was minimal (1%): latimes.com For instance, in last week's Times poll, Kerry trailed Bush among all registered voters by 49% to 45%. But the voters who watched the matchup preferred Kerry by 48% to 47% for Bush before the debate. After the debate, viewers divided nearly the same way, with 49% favoring Kerry, 47% Bush. Today's Rasmussen poll results make the same point as the LA Times: rasmussenreports.com Presidential Tracking Poll: Bush-Kerry Presidential Ballot Bush 49.0% Kerry 45.4% Other 2.1% Not Sure 3.7% RasmussenReports.com Sunday October 03, 2004--The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%. These results are based upon a survey of 3,000 Likely Voters conducted Thursday night, Friday night, and Saturday afternoon. As a result, just over two-thirds of the interviews were conducted following Thursday night's Presidential Debate. Interviews conducted on Friday and Saturday show Kerry with a one-point bounce so far since the debate. However, in post-debate interviews, Bush still leads 49% to 46%. <snip>