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Politics : Don't Blame Me, I Voted For Kerry -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (51150)	10/3/2004 1:24:16 PM
From: redfish	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 81568

Not according to these folks: "Regarding the internals, 34% of respondents are Republican, 36% are Democrat, 30% are independents. That's not quite right, huh? Doesn't that suggest that Kerry might be up by more than 3%? Posted by: David R. Mark \| October 3, 2004 01:28 AM" ---------------------- David Mark - We've seen so many problems with likely voter methodologies (especially with Gallup) that I'd rather see RVs for now. And yes, Dems are actually a bit under-weighted in this poll, so (assuming all else is correct), we are probably doing a bit better than the head-to-head shows. ----------------------- swingstateproject.com Last two elections, dems made up about 40% of the voting public.

To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (51150)	10/3/2004 10:16:13 PM
From: ChinuSFO	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 81568

YOou may have a point there with regards to the polls. However, ther is no denying the fact that the debate has narrowed the gap. Now this narrowing took place after the debate on an issue that Bush claims is his strongest point: Iraq and war on terrorism. You would think that he would have increased his lead after a debate on his strongest point. The next debate is going to be on the economy. I wonder what strong points does Bush have to debate economy. Granted, his handlers will put him through intense practice on his body language which he exhibited in the first debate and have him focus on his "style". However, I anticipate that he is going to loose hollow on content. Economy is not his strong point and hence he is very vulnerable. However, the thing that he has going for him is that it will be a town hall type debate with which he is very comfortable. Besides, he has not had many attack ads againts Kerry on economy and he has not defined Kerry in that area. So the voters do not come in with a pre formed opinion of Kerry on the economy. So this is the debate, I presume that Kerry is tasked to put the election away. Or Bush could rise up from this one and may succeed in halting the slide. Today people are convinced that Kerry looks very Presidential, that he is not a flip-flop that Bush has portrayed him to be, that he is sharp when he came back and told Bush that Osama attacked and not Saddam etc.