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Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Amy J who wrote (1717)	10/6/2004 6:57:31 AM
From: Henry Niman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 4232

My guess is that it will be first come first served (for high risk patients). Initially there should be stocks available because AVE is shipping on schedule. There are more companies that make vaccine overseas (I think there are 6 manufaturers for Europe) and I think the actual vaccine components are the same for all providers (only flumist is in the form of a nasal spray). If others can boost production (although it is late to get started for this season), I suspect the FDA could decalre some sort of health emergency and approve the sale of vaccine manufactured by others (after some quick safety checks or allow the other countries to use safety data generated overseas). I don't know how tight the supply is, but I doubt that anything will come from CHIR and I don't expect more than 54 million doses from AVE.