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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (79654)	10/22/2004 6:21:04 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 794358

Still More Madness: Gallup Has Bush Up By Six In Wisconsin By Captain Ed on Presidential Election And now even more polling fun -- Gallup has George Bush leading John Kerry in the key blue state of Wisconsin by six points, 51-45, when matched head-to-head. When Nader is added into the mix, Bush extends his lead to eight points, 51-43. This polling took place between Oct 16-19, somewhat closer in than the Mason-Dixon polling and less of a weekend poll as well. The demographics demonstrate a strong Bush surge with our neighbors to the East (head-to-head): * Bush leads among men by 13 points and even edges Kerry among women, 48-47 * Bush leads in the 18-34 age bracket by seven, 52-45 (in the three-way, he leads by 10, 51-41) and 35-54 by 14. Kerry holds a five-point edge among seniors. * Kerry leads substantially in Milwaukee (62-36), and edges Bush in the south by a single point (49-48), but everywhere else Bush leads by a wide margin, including the Milwaukee suburbs/exurbs (63-32). * Bush leads all educational categories except post-graduate by margins outside the error range. I think we can put Wisconsin in the Bush column along with Iowa, giving Bush an additional 17 electoral votes for November 2nd. UPDATE: Gallup also has recent polling for Colorado that puts Bush ahead among likely voters by five points, 51-46, in a two-way race.