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To: TobagoJack who wrote (54737)	10/23/2004 8:25:59 AM
From: Roebear	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Jay, My winter forecast this year, 10/15, indicates colder than normal temperatures for most of the East: Message 20646526 Preliminary forecast in September was about the same: Message 20617057 Since then Joe Bastardi, a professional (long range)forecaster I greatly respect, has issued his forecast for public subscribers and it is largely in agreement with my forecast above. While I look at the standard climate inputs, I also look at natural indicators, almanac type stuff, and they are in strong agreement. I should note a lot of my stuff indicates a severely cold winter is a good possibility in the areas mentioned in above forecasts. My only worry is too many forecast pundits now have similar conclusions and my contrarian self does not like a crowd, ggg. Best, Roebear