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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (15448)11/10/2004 9:12:39 PM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
A weak currency is a very bad proposition in today's bottlenecked, scarce/expensive commodity and input good world. There is no advantage to it, unless lending and selling at a loss to the US for devaluing Clown Bucks is your gig. In fact there are more and more signs foreigners are trying to get rid of USDs, not get more.
Message 20744959
At this rate WMT will be getting notices that says in effect, "keep your Dollars", we don't especially want them. With a strong currency, individual countries can better afford goods like oil (priced in USD). In the demand pull/cost push inflationary climate that we are in now, a strong currency makes countries more competitive, not less so, especially in the markets (not necessarily the US) that will count going forward. A weak currency only piles on more costs and difficulties.



To: mishedlo who wrote (15448)11/10/2004 9:34:45 PM
From: orkrious  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 116555
 
lance lewis tonight

Message 20756498



To: mishedlo who wrote (15448)11/11/2004 1:11:17 AM
From: Man on the moon  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 116555
 
It cracks me up you guys treat this whole situation like a board game where you think you have the situation pegged.
My biggest concern for the safety of many of your portfolios is that you are underestimating many things related to the strongest and most important country on the planet. Good luck.



To: mishedlo who wrote (15448)11/11/2004 11:52:51 AM
From: RealMuLan  Respond to of 116555
 
>>Please tell me who wants a strong currency.
Not China either.<<

Mish, China may not want the US$ too strong (like $1:0.8 Euro), but definitely does not want it any weaker than a couple of months ago (say $1:1.2 Euro). What is happening now with the ever declining US$ has put Chinese on an awkward position.

Although what happened happens, beyond China's control. It has to take another 20-30 years before China has some power in this currency exchange thing.