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Pastimes : SARS - what next? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: semi_infinite who wrote (918)	11/19/2004 3:39:12 PM
From: Henry Niman	Respond to of 1070

My guess is that human cases are under-reported, but the virus still hasn't achieved efficient human to human transmission. However, there is panic in Thailand from the hundreds of dead pigeons recombinomics.com Two schools have closed and there has only been one reported human death (last month). The amount of virus circulating appears to be quite high and a new crop of migrating birds will provide many opportunities for more recombination recombinomics.com I expect more examples of human to human transmission this season and a full blown pandemic would NOT be a surprise.

To: semi_infinite who wrote (918)	11/22/2004 4:44:17 AM
From: Henry Niman	Respond to of 1070

Dead ducks in Vietnam could signal another bird flu development recombinomics.com The ducks are being tested and the report indicates that they do not have bird flu symptoms. However, they do have paralysis, which is one of the symptoms of H5N1 recombinant infections of lab mice.