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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (153088)12/1/2004 5:47:50 AM
From: Noel de Leon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
1)The source to which I referred shows 1,2 million in 1948.

2) The population projection using 400,000 women and 10 births per woman over 3 generations still gives 25,000,000 in 2008-2028.

3)Right now the population of Gaza and the West Bank is 4 million. Using your estimate of 1 million women of a child bearing age(25% of the population) and your statistic of 10 births per woman and my statistic of 50 still births per 1000 you get around 10,000,000 in population in 2008-2028.

4) Population estimates from my source say 8 million.

5) The conclusion is that your estimate for births per woman is off by at least 25% and probably closer to 50%.

That is why I asked I asked for your source which you still have not provided.