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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: energyplay who wrote (57731)12/29/2004 2:01:00 PM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 74559
 
eplay the winner of the bet:

Message 19680534

EPLAY:
<<Anyone want to bet on how low USD /Euro goes ?

1.35 ? 1.50 ? 2.00 ?

I'm leaning towards an overshoot to about 1.80, maybe in early 2005, followed by a snap back to about 1.30....>>

ELKABONG:
<<At around 1.35 or thereabouts, Germany reaches the breaking point. Italy and Spain go to maybe 1.40, and France maybe about 1.42 but no more. Great Britain might last until 1.50, but I don't think so.

At some point, the Central Banks of Europe have to intervene in the currency markets to protect their own interests, vis a vis Japan. That point is likely to be somewhere under 1.50, maybe less. How much can they influence the currency markets? If Japan can be used as an example, then they (Europe) can prolong the nasties for as long as they desire, or until their own economies succumb to global currency pressures, or the US$ recovers, whichever comes first...>>

JAY
<<Ok, I will bite. I GUESS Euro 2004 high at 1.549, and back down to 1.30 :0)>>

ELMAT:
<<1:50 before Summer.>>

We all missed because we didn't count with the fiddling with the job numbers :-)

How about 2005? anyone brave enough?



To: energyplay who wrote (57731)12/29/2004 3:08:15 PM
From: Raymond Duray  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 74559
 
ep,

Re: SF Earthquake, 1906 -- A number of historians believe the actual total was much higher, well over 10,000 - and surpressed to avoid hurting the investment in California.

That sounds interesting. I lived in the Bay Area for about 12 years and never heard a word about this. Do you happen to recall the historians making this claim?

***
Here's a couple references to the '06 quake:

vibrationdata.com
greenspun.com

500 people officially listed as dead in the City only as a result of the earthquake and fire according to this unofficial source...

And up to 3,000 dead from all causes in all locations according to this official website:
sfmuseum.org

Interestingly, the SF Musuem website mentions a graft investigation.....

Plus ca change, plus c'est la meme chose

The more things change, the more they remain the same....