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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GraceZ who wrote (21511)1/17/2005 10:03:28 AM
From: SouthFloridaGuy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
<<Seems to me I remember a rather brash young man once betting me that his gold miner would out perform any other investment I could name over any period I wished to pick! How did you get converted from that view? -gggg->>

I can agree with some of the points you have made as I myself have admitted that some pieces of evidence are stronger than others, while many other things you have said have less of a leg to stand on.

That brash young man was right for some time with regard to gold; the gold miners (BGO, was it?) went from 1 to 4 at one point, but as conditions change so must opinions and investment strategy. I have been neutral to negative on gold ever since I began debating with Mish.

I'll be the first to admit, I was way off on real estate by what looks like 2 1/2 years now (2 years for U.K.). But context is important, personally I was under-employed for a year so a house would have been crappy for me or many others in finance. But conditions are definitely changing and I am calling it as I see it. Rolling deflation is the most likely outcome, let's talk about this in a year and you can jab me if I am wrong then.



To: GraceZ who wrote (21511)1/17/2005 6:49:56 PM
From: LTK007  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 116555
 
i never predicted a depression in my 63 years, but i have been now for what lies ahead.
i will enjoy your dead silence when "lo and behold" it happens again---70years plus/minus a bit isn't a long time in the overall movement of time.