To: Chas. who wrote (6778 ) 1/24/2005 5:12:35 AM From: GUSTAVE JAEGER Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 22250 Re: I maintain this law protects the Jews from Arab blackmail and extortion and... ...I maintain it's a cradle war --clue: The Arab population in Israel numbers 1.36 million, about 20 percent of the general population. Last week the Central Bureau of Statistics published data on Israel's Muslim community, which constitutes 82 percent of the Arab population. The data expressly prove that demographics is not a scarecrow. According to the CBS announcement, the rate of increase of the Muslim population in 2004 was 3.2 percent, due to entirely natural growth - 2.5 times higher than the 1.3 percent rise in the Jewish population. The rate of increase of Israel's Muslim population is higher than that of neighboring Arab states. Muslims are 16 percent of the entire population - but 25 percent of babies in Israel were born this year to Muslim mothers. The key to natural growth figures is the number of births a woman is likely to have in her lifetime (the birthrate). In order to maintain a stable population, women must have an average of 2.1 children. The table above demonstrates not only the fertility of the Muslim woman in Israel, but the source of the demographic troubles of Western Europe. The birthrates of Muslim women fell sharply after the 1960s, when they exceeded 9 births per woman. After more than 20 years of stability at a rate of 4.6-4.7 births in the '70s and '80s, the rate dropped slightly in 2002 and 2003 to 4.5 births. It is possible that in the future, the birthrate of Muslim women may fall to the levels of other Israeli social sectors, but by then there could be a substantial change in the "weight" of Israel's Muslim population, creating a real demographic threat to the character of the state. What should be done (or not done) in the face of this possibility? First and foremost, not annexing East Jerusalem and its 250,000 Palestinian residents. Without East Jerusalem, the Arab population in Israel drops from 20 percent to 15 percent. [...]haaretz.com Actually, author Avraham Tal (disingenuously?) fails to mention another option for Israel: the physical containment of East Jerusalem --the fencing-off of it-- so that, regardless of the Arab birthrate and the current number of Arab residents in the city, the future growth of Arab residents in Jerusalem will be capped by its physical boundaries. The so-called security wall around East Jerusalem will preclude any urban sprawl and prevent East Jerusalem from outweighing Jewish West Jerusalem. The Israeli endgame is to turn East Jerusalem into an unextendable Arab ghetto --clue: Israel seized east Jerusalem - which includes the walled Old City with its sites holy to Christians, Muslims and Jews - from Jordan in the 1967 Mideast war and annexed it. But east Jerusalem has remained the center of commercial and religious life for the roughly 2 million Palestinians of the West Bank, which surrounds the city from the north, east and south. The new northern section of the barrier cuts off all of Jerusalem from the West Bank administrative center, Ramallah, and the gateway to Nablus and other towns. The southern barrier separates the city from the biblical town of Bethlehem, Hebron and other areas. Together, the northern and southern barriers - built mostly during the past six months - are some 12 miles long; plans are not clear on how to close the gap between the two, facing the lightly populated area to the east of the city. Israelis say separation is essential to stopping terrorism and enabling negotiations for a peace treaty after which the West Bank barrier, or parts of it, might be moved or removed. Palestinians, however, have condemned the project as a grab of land they consider theirs. Along the stretch of barrier completed in the north of the West Bank, significant tracts of Palestinian agricultural land were seized. The Jerusalem fences, opponents say, also mean West Bank Palestinians will be cut off from the city's schools, hospitals and jobs - as well as from Friday prayers at the Al Aqsa mosque, a key Islamic holy site. The barrier also will divide the roughly 200,000 Arabs of east Jerusalem from relatives and friends in the West Bank. Israeli roadblocks set up since fighting broke out in September 2000 already has made such access very difficult. But it was not impossible, and there was hope that one day the roadblocks might go away. The project also undermines the Palestinians' efforts to develop a commercial hub in a future east Jerusalem capital, said Stephanie Koury, a legal adviser to the PLO. The situation is complicated by the fact that Israel has ringed east Jerusalem with Jewish neighborhoods - making a simple division impossible and even creating a slight Jewish majority in the occupied sector. The project also sometimes leaves Palestinian areas caught between the fence and other travel restrictions. The southern Jerusalem barrier, for example, veers into the West Bank to incorporate on the "Israeli" side Rachel's Tomb, revered by religious Jews as the burial site of the biblical matriarch. The site is just south of Jerusalem, inside Bethlehem; about 400 Palestinians living near the tomb will be cut off from Bethlehem - but aren't expected to get Jerusalem access permits either. The new barrier is impossible to hop over. In some places it stretches as wide as a football field, with a 10 foot high fence with electric sensors in the middle. On either side are 13 feet deep trenches and pyramid-shaped stacks of six coils of razor wire. On the Israeli side is a smoothed strip of sand to detect footprints and a paved patrol road. [...]kansas.com