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Pastimes : SARS - what next? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (1002)	1/20/2005 5:47:20 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1070

World Health Organisation report who.int Cumulative Number of Confirmed Human Cases of Avian Influenza A(H5N1) since 28 January 2004 19 January 2005 Country/Territory Total cases Deaths Thailand 17 12 Viet Nam 34 25 Total 51 37

To: Maurice Winn who wrote (1002)	1/25/2005 5:35:00 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1070

Another 4 deaths since 20 January and 9 in Vietnam in 3 weeks, still with limited human to human transmissibility: <The death, the ninth in Vietnam in the past three weeks, brings its toll from bird flu to 29 since the first outbreak hit the region's poultry industry in December 2003. Twelve people died in Thailand last year. Asia's total death toll from the virus is now 41. Most of the victims are believed to have caught the virus from infected poultry but doctors fear it could mutate into one that is easily passed between people, unleashing a global flu pandemic that could kill millions.> The bug is gaining ground quickly. Graph of H5N1/H7N7/H12N8 infections and deaths. o = cases x = deaths [cumulative] 19 Jan oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo 50 19 Jan xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 37 [75%] 25 Jan 25 Jan xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 41 Here is the sars graph for comparison: x = 10 deaths. Cumulative deaths 26 Feb ? ..5 Mar x 12 Mar x 19 Mar x 26 Mar xx ...2 Apr xxxxx ...9 Apr xxxxxxxxxx .16 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx .23 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx .30 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ..6 May xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [478] Mqurice