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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tejek who wrote (215829)1/24/2005 10:45:09 AM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574250
 
The 100K Iraqi dead figure is a projection based on media reports. Other reports that don't project, but take the count from witnesses, morgues and hospitals put the count closer to 17K Iraqi dead.

Lancet is just trying to sensationalize the Iraq war dead figures. Basically, Lancet took a small sample of 988 Iraqi households and project that sample's death count out to the entire Iraqi population. The Lancet projection could be highly unreliable depending on what sample they used. For instance, if the majority of their sample came from war torn cities like Fallujah or Nasiriyah or any of the cities in the Sunni triangle, then the estimate will be much higher than reality. If their sample is representative of the cities across Iraq, then it will be much more accurate.

I for one, doubt 100K is an accurate figure. Let me give you an example. What if I wanted to get a picture of the age distribution of our population? If I went to a public high school and pulled my sample just from that high school, I might come to the conclusion that the country is predominantly 15-18 years old. Not a good projection.