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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: loantech who wrote (27281)2/26/2005 9:27:40 AM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Trying to predict ecactly how much prices will fall (or how high they will go before the bust) is virtually impossible.
But the bigger the bubble the bigger the bust.

My GUESS is that prices in bubble markets like New York and California will give up roughly half the gains seen over the past four years by 2008 if we top out shortly. But if the price surge continues much longer the inevitable plunge will be that much worse.



To: loantech who wrote (27281)2/26/2005 9:34:53 PM
From: steve from ihub  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
i spent the summer in portland. thanks to the no sprawl rule, you should be a lot better off than most markets in any real estate problems. it is just impossible to overbuild. at least that was my impression.


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