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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (60726)3/5/2005 9:52:55 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
Hi Jay - Do you think you might do better shorting -

1) Overpriced tech which is might be in down trends -
AAPL, YHOO, RIMM, ORCL, SEBL, EBAY, QCOM ?

2) The pure play mortgage REITs, like NLY Annaly, or mortgage originators, like COuntrywide ?

These companies have only financial assests bought short term money. SHort term rates up, financial assests down, guess what ?

Homebuilders have real assests (land, houses, etc.) bought with a mix of equity, long term loans, and some short term.

Short term rates is a minor effect. Inflation will put real asset value up fast.

******

What's the opportunity cost here ? Compare to Canroys, small oil companies, metal miners....



To: TobagoJack who wrote (60726)3/6/2005 8:52:48 PM
From: Amark$p  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
FWIW, I joined you in buying Jan 07 puts on Toll Bros on Friday...



To: TobagoJack who wrote (60726)3/6/2005 10:47:06 PM
From: prosperous  Respond to of 74559