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To: slacker711 who wrote (27900)4/14/2005 11:29:20 PM
From: pompsander  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 60323
 
SNDK had forecast a 15% drop in ASP for NAND in this quarter. the Samsung 9% drop at the production level would seem to validate that pricing stayed stronger this quarter than had been expected.

Love that comment about not keeping up with NAND demand.



To: slacker711 who wrote (27900)4/15/2005 7:57:38 AM
From: slacker711  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 60323
 
Samsung earnings slide presentation.........they increased their demand forecast from 130% to 170%!

samsung.com

• NAND : Strong NAND demand in MP3 players and steady demand
growth in high density segment
- Blended ASP : Mid $8 (1G equiv.), 9%?
· Price cuts to expand high density products demand
- Bit Growth : 38%? (increase from the previous 12% target)
· Inventory reduction : 2 wks (’04 year end) ? below 0.5 wk (March)
- Partial production allocation from DRAM to NAND (Line 12)
• Further cost leadership through 12” capacity? & process migration
- DRAM : Line 13 ? 30K Wf./mo. (March end), 90? transition under progress
- NAND : Line 14 ? mass production starting in July, 70? & MLC from 2Q


NAND Production

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
70nm 5% 20% 30%
90nm 85% 80% 70% 60%
4Gb 5% 45% 70%
2Gb 75% 75% 40% 15%


snip....................

• Steady NAND demand growth in ’05
- Yearly NAND demand outlook revised upward: 130% ? =170%
· Demand increase in MP3 Player & Handset
- Persistent shortage especially in high density product segment
· Expansion of Gigabyte product segment: MP3 Player, Camcorder, etc.