SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Taikun who wrote (31542)5/1/2005 7:58:41 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
>>>The USD represents good value here. <<<

That is a very risky statement to make.

The Canadian Dollar, among fiat currencies, is much more promising. The Canadian dollar is a call on natural resources--and also Canadian finance and fiscal policy has been much more responsible than that of the U. S. over the past few years.

EDIT: Warren Buffet's remarks:

Buffett: "We're like an incredibly rich family that owns so much land they can't travel to the ends of their domain. And they sit on the front porch and consume a little bit of everything that comes in, all the riches of the land, and they consume roughly 6 percent more than they produce. And they pay for it by selling off land at the edge of the landholdings that can't see. They trade away a little piece every day or take out a mortgage on a piece.

"That scenario couldn't end well. And we, also, keep consuming more than we produce. It can go on a long time. The world has demonstrated a diminishing enthusiasm for dollars in the last few years as they get flooded with them – every day there's $2 billion more going out than in. I have a hard time thinking of any outcome from this that involves an appreciating dollar.



To: Taikun who wrote (31542)5/1/2005 9:45:57 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
chinadaily.com.cn

all pretty good points.

I have no reason to doubt the numbers in the article. I still have no clue why our politicians are in such a hurry to push China into revaluing the RMB. The odds that it will hurt us is so high.



To: Taikun who wrote (31542)5/1/2005 10:32:16 PM
From: Chaka  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
I posed this question the other day. How can the USD be overvalued compared to where? The UK? The UK is frighteningly uncompetitive and have a paucity of major companies compared to the US.

USD will devalue compared to real assets - oil, metals, sugar, you name it. What happens to USD with respect to Pound, Yen, or Euro depends on who is winning at any given moment in devaluing their currency in order to be "competitive".