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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (31749)5/4/2005 5:45:48 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
That's pretty much my take....this was greenmail, more or less. He either sold into today's action, or he's gonna try and strong arm GM management into a major restructuring which may or may not work (given the nature of their union/pension obligations, I suspect not). Note that this implies NOTHING for Ford, which is absolutely blowing chunks in the market....today was an excellent reshorting opportunity for them, IMHO.

DISCLOSURE: NO position on GM, SHORT shares of Ford.



To: ild who wrote (31749)5/4/2005 5:47:58 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
>>This is another reason why I encourage folks at home not to mess around with short-selling. It looks easy while stocks are going down, but trust me, it's anything but<<

Oh, please...he advises people to buy puts, there you have all the same ways to lose plus primo decay. There's no such thing as a free lunch, playing the dark side (in the current environment) is less risky than going long at these valuations in the intermediate term and longer.



To: ild who wrote (31749)5/4/2005 6:37:54 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
That is hell of a good move by this old fart. I have to bow to Kerkorian even though he cost me a buddle today, hopefully just temporarily.

I often wonder about the legality of such moves. Anyone with serious money can do it. The Chinese and Japanese can play this game very easily by quietly taking as big a position as they can in anything, then make some announcement that will make that position extremely profitable and close the position when all the suckers are drawn in.