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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TigerPaw who wrote (32921)5/21/2005 6:58:21 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
<<companies are likely to turn to other countries, such as Thailand or Malaysia for goods, rather than U.S. producers>>

I think this is precisely why the RMB will, at the end of day, devalue against the dollar, because China is not in the business of helping <<a different area>>

In any case, it is exceeding unlikely that the Malaysias and Thailands can be as competitive as inland China at any revaluation of RMB against the relevant currencies on the order a mere 5-25%.

I do not even believe the Malaysias and Thailands can be competitive against coastal China at a RMB revaluation of 5-25%.

On competitiveness, it is not just a matter of currency rates, and not even labour rates, but infrastructure, network, relationships, et cetera, so on and so forth, and so, the US Congress, together with the protectionist interest groups, are barking up the wrong tree, in the wrong forest, on the wrong planet, in the incorrect galaxy, and 25 years too late.

The Japanese Yen revaluation from 350 to the current 104 is not saving the likes of GM and F, and it is not as if the Japanese assembly line workers are getting paid less than the Detroit variety.



To: TigerPaw who wrote (32921)5/23/2005 5:20:45 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
I believe China will remain the cheaper alternative
to a few other Asian locations

the yuan repeg will lower Chinese commodity imports
it will also raise our BigBox retail prices inside USA

the inelasticity of Asian import prices is not covered much
if prices rise by 5%, expect unit sales to drop by 1-2% only
thus, higher trade gap

does that effing moron Snow realize the mfg sector is not about to return to US shores anytime soon?
does he realize that their labor cost advantage is 30-to-1 ?
man oh man, our leaders are nitwits

/ jim