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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Umunhum who wrote (36306)7/19/2005 12:45:46 PM
From: philv  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
I think you would agree that in this fiat system, the money supply must increase and keep up to the GDP, or else new investments would be chocked off. Many analysts have made the point that much of the debt and money creation is not going to finance new viable business or increased productivity, rather to consumption which has no long term economic benefit.

As I understand it, under a gold standard, the price of gold would increase to reflect the increase in demand, rather than increasing the money supply under this regime.



To: Umunhum who wrote (36306)7/19/2005 1:40:39 PM
From: bond_bubble  Respond to of 110194
 
Even in non-fractional reserve the credit will shrink by 10K i.e one closes the loan paying 10% interest. So the real issue is that - contraction happens at a very high rate i.e large number of people close the loan paying the interest. Just the reverse when they took credit. This can happen only during deflation....