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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ramsey Su who wrote (36743)7/23/2005 12:46:26 PM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Who is buying MBS? It's certainly not the banks and the GSEs as they've been selling: to hedge funds, FCBs and Pirates of the Caribbean?

H8, bank holdings of MBS:

03/23/2005 485.2
03/30/2005 470.5
04/06/2005 467.6
04/13/2005 458.2
04/20/2005 469.6
04/27/2005 463.6
05/04/2005 460.6
05/11/2005 455.7
05/18/2005 460.3
05/25/2005 457.1
06/01/2005 458.3
06/08/2005 456.8
06/15/2005 397.4
06/22/2005 453.2
06/29/2005 452.1
07/06/2005 447.0
07/13/2005 444.2

From page 17 WSE's Weekly Money and Credit,
wallstreetexaminer.com

An 8k by FNM at the end of June showed that in May Fannie reduced its retained portfolio by a whopping $23.8 billion (*)versus $14.7 billion in April, and $10.4 billion in March. Since October, Fannie has spewed out $87.1 billion in assets. Freddie also has a shrinkage problem but not to the same extent. It's total retained portfolio is up 1% since October, and is now 81% the size of Fannie

(*) change in FCB custodial holdings, totals 26.76 billion, what a co-inki-dink:

5-5: +7,275
5-12: +3,718
5-19: +4,326
5-26: +647
6-2: +10,794

Last seven weeks FCB agency purchases have slowed some, up 12.627 billion.

Updating Boiling a Happy Frog:
wallstreetexaminer.com

Rates move 20 bp higher, and real estate lending explodes, go figure? No wonder everything looks so counterintuitive and perverse. Borrowing more to service old debt?

06/29/2005 2724.6
07/06/2005 2744.7
07/13/2005 2762.0



To: Ramsey Su who wrote (36743)7/23/2005 3:51:14 PM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
I'm getting more solicitations for refinancing than ever of late. I don't know if it is that lending is still very lose or it has tightened of late and everyone is going after the short list of people with great credit and little debt outstanding. The fact that all are pumping the 1% pay rate option to lower payments makes me still think it is still very lax.