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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (36825)7/24/2005 1:57:54 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Russ, perhaps they do just what stocks did in 2000.
No mergers until panic sets in and then you have buyouts at absurd prices like JDSU/Uniphase or whatever.

I am typing off the top of my head now without giving this much thought.

It's not that there are no mergers, GG and WHT for example (everyone seems to have wanted WHT), it's just that there have not been many of them.

Mish



To: russwinter who wrote (36825)7/24/2005 2:35:09 PM
From: smh  Respond to of 110194
 
Russ,

The situation is highly analogous to the big pharma / biotech sector and the weak pipelines. Many of us BT investors have been waiting for years for the needed consolidation. I have to think it is a lack of vision (or other inadequacy) commonly shared amongst the industries "leaders."

BTW, as a dedicated lurker on many of these threads, I have benefited greatly from your generously shared insights. I owe you. Thanks

SMH



To: russwinter who wrote (36825)7/24/2005 4:11:55 PM
From: jackjc  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Yes, except for FGX which was taken out at a double, there
has been almost nothing taken out at decent premium.

Corner Bay had a half way decent premium announced then PAAS
weaseled it down to a very small percentage gain.

I have long ago stopped waiting for buyouts on these jrs
and went mostly to jrs which can produce.

Have been pleased with Alamos getting into production without
capex blowup, and selling out slowly at tremendous multiple.

Sev others taken out at about 25% premium, names escape me.