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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: bcrafty who wrote (37048)	7/26/2005 9:26:35 PM
From: mishedlo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

I think he is clueless. 40,000 unless we see 9500 first? Perhaps he really did change his tune and has seen the light. I just doubt it. Besides, 40,000 unless we see 9500 first - what kind of prediction is that anyway? What is his prediction if we do see 9500 first? Did he say? Watch him start changing his tune when we get there. Sort of like pretcher and gold. Anyway he is running out of time for his DOW 40,000 bet and he knows it.

To: bcrafty who wrote (37048)	7/26/2005 10:54:27 PM
From: John Vosilla	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 110194

I like to track SAN DIEGO County, CA, which is trending upward already for several years but still way under the early 1990's figures. My guess it eventually tops out at 3k+ per quarter for at least a couple of years. 1st qtr 2005 1758 2nd quarter 2005 1401 1st qtr 2004 1372 2nd quarter 2004 1625 1st qtr 2003 1482 2nd quarter 2003 1094 1st qtr 2002 1064 2nd quarter 2002 1563 1st qtr 2001 947 2nd quarter 2001 1072 1st qtr 2000 965 2nd quarter 2000 932 netronline.com I also track many counties in Florida and they are at very low new lis pendens levels and actually trending down. Only indications so far of bubbles coming close to popping are existing inventory in Boston at over 8 months according to CR and frothy condo markets appear to in some case be building a ton of inventory or have a lot of units in completed buildings sitting empty in the hands of flippers. Certainly charts of home builders and most large financial institutions are not discounting any major collapse yet.