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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (47032)12/11/2005 10:02:01 AM
From: Douglas M. Benedict  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Yes the pain of a drop can be serious...but just try calling a top over and over and over again...in say something we are not currently emotional about..like Corn in 1995...

futuresource.com



Never go above 3.20, one would be led to believe...

Everyone missed the point because Unclebigs glossed over it and IGNORED the critical comment..." profits were taken off the table, because only 50% of the win was added on the next bet" so, even though the last bet is large...profits are booked many times more than the last bet...it is not top heavy...and yes this can be done...but that is the trade secret...

Back to corn...I disagree...the run up can be more painful because it is in disbelief...the eventual drop???...well everyone expected it...but just not from the 5000 NASDAQ level...did they??? (twisted that one train of thought for shock treatment)

I'm enjoying this discussion more than the daily predictions...I apologize for diverting topics...



To: russwinter who wrote (47032)12/11/2005 2:07:28 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Check out the latest Wizard of Oz Theory.
This one is a doozie...

Dark Matter' Makes the U.S. Deficit Disappear
Ricardo Hausmann and Federico Sturzenegger
US is a $600bn net creditor, not a $4,100bn net debtor. Since the assets have remained stable then on average the US has not had a current account deficit at all over the past 25 years. That is why it is still a net creditor.


take a look yourself:
ksg.harvard.edu