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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: michael97123 who wrote (2986)	1/10/2006 2:52:13 AM
From: Peter Dierks	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 71588

You have some interesting points. We know that with someone like Clinton in the Whitehouse Iranian nukes would just be a new fact of global reality. President Bush is likely to think through the implications and discuss them with others who have done the same. Blackmail might be a nice incentive to complete the second muslim bomb. It is possible that part of their aim is to ensure energy independence for the foreseeable future. I saw one projection that Iran could cease being a net exported of fossil fuels by 2020 without nuclear power. I suspect that you are correct. our fear about what saddam would do with wmds now comes alive with iran? Perhaps it would have been better to let them both get nukes> And Libya too? We didn’t go to war with the soviets. Iran is not Russia nor is it Iraq. Air power on its own might do more harm than good if done by itself. I had reached the same conclusion. To be successful I think there probably must be regime change in iran that gives the anti-clerics hope even though some of the anti-clerics will be just as pissed off as the clerics that we took out their nukes. It is a total unknown what would fill the power void if the clerics were to accidentally detonate their first nuclear device in a high clerical meeting. Would the son of Shah try to return? Would there be any chance for a democracy if the clerics were to disappear? The terrible thing about propaganda is that even while people are cognizant of it, it begins to pervade their beliefs. The investments made by radical muslims to brainwash would require significant effort to retrain.