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Politics : View from the Center and Left -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (12832)2/20/2006 3:48:10 PM
From: Dale Baker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 541735
 
I would agree that the Republicans have done a better job of managing the election process to grab more of the center in the last two elections, by a narrow margin. They were hopeless in 1992 and 1996, however. Neither party has shown any consistency in winning the White House since the FDR-Truman era. Since then it has been Rep - Rep - Dem - Dem - Rep - Rep - Dem - Rep - Rep - Rep - Dem - Dem - Rep - Rep. You can almost get a steady beat in that if you repeat it a few times, LOL.

If the vote were held tomorrow without a year of Rovian spin, the basic motivation would be anti-incumbent and the Republicans would lose pretty noticeably. Their saving grace is their ability to mount a smoother and slicker campaign over time, running up to a presidential poll. For now, the shrill right (in the person of Delay and the personalities getting all the press) would cost them a lot.

But without a clear leader and voice (since Bush will have to keep mum for most of the campaign period), they will simply be less disorganized and shrill than the Democrats. Hardly a positive platform.