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To: the-phoenix who wrote (130609)3/12/2006 12:06:31 PM
From: skinowski  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Re your chart - Interesting that NDX/SPX ratio topped out in September 2003 and failed to make new highs since then, diverging from the price action in both. This must mean that tech was unable to recapture the leadership position. Divergence?



To: the-phoenix who wrote (130609)3/12/2006 12:12:42 PM
From: the-phoenix  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
The Couch Potato Portfolio

A bit more on trading off this ratio. Back in January I posted this trading idea, of selling the NDX when the ratio hit 1.38:

Message 220858

If one had sold Nasdaq E-minis and bought S&P E-minis in directionally neutral proportions when the ratio first hit this level on January 12th, he/she would have roughly a 300% return in two months.

Example, selling 20 NQs and buying 10 ES, requires a bit less than $10,000 in performance bond. The profit on the position through Friday would have been $38,600.