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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: UncleBigs who wrote (56224)3/19/2006 3:50:13 PM
From: Tradelite  Respond to of 110194
 
re: the 1970s vs. today

You're right. Now is not the '70s.

Back in that decade, I managed to:

graduate from college

get a decent professional job based on my college education

buy a car with cash

wait in gas lines due to a gas crisis

buy a house with a required 20-percent down payment and a 9.25-percent mortgage loan

have a kid

feel like a penny-pincher most of the time but still have money to do the important stuff.

own a dog at the same time

pay the veterinarian bills

see mortgage interest rates soar into the high teens

<<gg>>

People find a way to get by from day to day. The country does, too. Hope the future is as challenging as the past and that we all persevere.



To: UncleBigs who wrote (56224)3/19/2006 3:53:56 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
I think the United States is headed for the worst economic chaos ever created in a country that has not recently suffered major military defeat and invasion. I don't think there has ever been any case of a country that has been permitted such financial extravagance, unless it was the city of Rome at the height of the Roman Empire. Yet a large majority of U. S. citizens are quite oblivious to the implications of this enormous internal and external debt structure.



To: UncleBigs who wrote (56224)3/22/2006 4:49:24 PM
From: Mike Johnston  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
We have a bursting housing bubble, negative savings rate that can only go higher and an overly indebted consumer.
None of these conditions existed in the 70's. Also, we had a trade surplus in the 70's and a very obnoxious trade deficit now.
The current environment is nothing like the 70's.


That's why this time, stagflation will be much worse than in the 70's.