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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ild who wrote (56253)3/20/2006 12:13:22 PM
From: Ramsey Su  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
ild,

I have not really targeted any banks nor the big boys in particular. The subprimes are better targets because I believe the 2/28 model, as well as the current mortgage securitization market, are flawed.

This weekend as I was looking through the display ads in the real estate section of the SD Union, I noticed that there are not that many detached projects. Most of the ads are for condos and condo conversions. One project was advertising something like $250,000 if close in 7 days, $260,000 if close in 14 days and $270,000 if close in 45 days. That seems to be telling me that some of these condo developers/converters are starting to be desperate for cash flow.

I am looking at FMT now because of their exposure to construction loans. I am also looking to see what NDE is about.

Unfortunately, I leave for Japan end of this week and may miss end of qtr earnings guidance which may be coming out next week.