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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: UncleBigs who wrote (57622)4/6/2006 3:33:44 PM
From: J_Locke  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
The fed can't stop until commodities stop going up and the savings rate stops going down. Real interest rates are still less than 1%, which isn't enough to get Americans to forgo consumption in favor of savings. Look at New Zealand, which has similar problems. They've jacked rates all the way to 7.5% and are only now seeing signs of an incipient slowdown.



To: UncleBigs who wrote (57622)4/7/2006 12:11:10 AM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 110194
 
"The only danger lurking out there is housing."

Fed funds were kept too low for too long. If they had started raising a little sooner and at faster increments the chances of success would have been much greater. We needed a flattened yield curve a year ago.. Speculation was way out of control by then. All those unneeded condos being built and 20-30% added home appreciation in 2005 will have serious ramifications for years to come..


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