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To: ild who wrote (58335)4/16/2006 4:07:18 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Respond to of 110194
 
in any event, what are they going to do? they can't very well use it. they'd be completely wiped out if they did that.

if Iran gets it, then about 10 other countries are going to get it in a few years, starting with Saudi Arabia. as multilateral tensions rise in dynamic feedback/feedforward, odds are that nukes will go off in the ME before the end of the decade and it will be left for God to "sort them out."



To: ild who wrote (58335)4/16/2006 4:30:21 PM
From: skinowski  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
They have had at least 10 years to make it. They must have wanted it badly as Israel had it and Iraq was supposedly making it.

The technology may be simple - and yet, Saddam Hussein was unable to get his hands on nukes. I think that if Iran had the bomb, they would claim entry into the "nuclear club" not by chattering up a storm, as they have been doing, and not by showing off lab tubes with enriched Uranium -- they would do it literally with a bang - by conducting a "test" explosion, the way India and Pakistan have done some years back.

Nuclear Iran would probably mean that the non-proliferation strategy is finished.