To: TimF who wrote (287319 ) 5/9/2006 6:56:20 PM From: Road Walker Read Replies (1) | Respond to re: I thought you where a proponent of the peak oil theory (that we are nearing a peak), but looking through your posts I see you don't directly endorse it. You have also directly predicted that certain tax changes would greatly reduce our dependence on imported oil and you've predicted that the situation in Iraq would get worse for some time You have also at least past along predictions about future trade and budget deficits. I can't look in to a crystal ball and have certain knowledge of the future. But I can look at Iraq and the situation there and the nature of our involvement there and see that there is very little likelihood of the situation ever resulting in as many American deaths as Vietnam. only 10,000 US kids dead. For sure it looks like it's going for the rest of the Bush admin, and you can't expect it to end on a dime at the end of that admin, so a WAG is 6,000 dead and 46,000 total American casualties, at best. If things stay as they are, and we elect a hawk, say, McCain, then double that. If things break bad in the Middle East, a distinct possibility, there is no telling. Could be much worse than Vietnam.
