SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: redfrecknj who wrote (63006)6/7/2006 5:55:40 PM
From: gregor_us  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
IMO, the USD will dutifully strengthen a little on Hawk Talk and actual hikes, and will dutifully weaken on Pause Talk and actual pauses.

But I am contrarian on the matter of what the USD ultimately does, in the face of whatever sustained FED policy we get. To wit: if the FED for example does keep tightening into a slowing economy and we go into recession, that will be curtains for the dollar. In contrast, avoidance of recession is *mildly* dollar supportive.

I'm pretty much contra The Textbook on what happens to the dollar going forward, bascially, because in the textbook there's no mention of the aggregate public and private debt.

Rate Hikes into a recession puts the Debt in to play. It's akin to Calling the Loan.

LP



To: redfrecknj who wrote (63006)6/7/2006 10:50:01 PM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 110194
 
eom



To: redfrecknj who wrote (63006)6/9/2006 2:05:57 AM
From: Proud Deplorable  Respond to of 110194
 
Message 22526931

This time it's different. The old red white and blue, she ain't what she used to be. Back in the '70s and '80s MOST countries didn't hate the USA like they do today. It's an empire in decline and nothing is going to stop that besides if the USA is ever going to be competitive again it must let the dollar crash....it will.

The morality side of this will win the day in the end because deficits are immoral, exploitation and slavery. Americans live in shameless luxury, so fat they can't get into their Hummers, while they enslave other countties economically. You know the drill and now it's coming home to roost. ALL empires eventually collapse in similar fashion to the Roman Empire.

----------------------

"Iran was instrumental to the blowup in the gold price in 1979-80, when it hit $850. We think Iran will be at the centre of the next blowup. Indeed, we recommend that some gold be bought for purely geopolitical reasons."

resourceinvestor.com

-----------

RE says....make sure you have gold by June 16th