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Strategies & Market Trends : Buying SPLITs and other Strategies -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: rolatzi who wrote (857)	6/21/2006 10:33:23 AM
From: Terry Whitman	Respond to of 1163

>The next question arises as to how do you determine whether there is a bull or bear market.< That's the biggie, the 64 thousand dollar question, the Big Kahuna. I usually base it on internals such as the A/D line, or New Highs vs. New lows, throw in a couple of moving avgs. one shorter, one longer. For Long Term, the 200day should be the longer one. A 8:1 ratio is tried and tested, so 25 v. 200 would probably give decent results for Bear v. Bull. stockcharts.com Right now on the NH-NL, 25ma is at -93, and the 200ma is at +59, so we're deep in Bear sh*t.. 10/80 ma's gives pretty good results too, but you'll get more see-saw action on it. When you get home, maybe you can post the numbers on your expiry system. Sounds pretty good. I wouldn't worry about seasonal differences, those are almost always there in any system. Just note it.