SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold and Silver Juniors, Mid-tiers and Producers -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: koan who wrote (16268)7/15/2006 8:17:35 AM
From: 4C  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 78416
 
Hi koan, not to minimize the geopolitical situation, but in my view events that are being portrayed in the markets are worst case scenarios which I believe will never happen.

Let me elaborate my view. Remember a few years back when Israel attacked and bombed the head quarters of Yaser Arafat for weeks. What happened then, a whole Middle East war? No, after they dismantled the threat to them, Israel stopped everything and the whole incident died down.

Now what do we have today, a Hezbollah group which was getting too powerful for the good of Israel and had to be dealt with, with a preemptive strike of sorts. The two soldiers were just an excuse to execute a plan. They are going to weaken Hezbollah and destroy them as much as they can and then back off. This may take a week or two.

Now all this talk about Syria and Iran getting involved in a war with Israel is Poppycock. All these countries put together are no match for Israel's Army and they all know it. Why do you think the Arabs wear bombs and explode themselves inside Israel, because they have no other way of inflicting harm to them.

Syria has a new young king, and he is not foolish enough to drag himself into a war where he will end up destroying his country. As for Iran, the country is thousands of miles away from the situation. How could Iran possibly go to war with Israel, plain silly.

Furthermore, all the talk about Iran being behind Hezbollah is to demonize the country as much as possible and prepare the world opinion for an eventual preemptive strike on their nuclear facilities sometime down the road.

In my view then the reaction of the general market and its severe oversold condition, coupled with an eventual halt by the fed to raise interest rates, is presenting us with a good buying opportunity.

Just my view,
STF



To: koan who wrote (16268)7/15/2006 12:57:01 PM
From: Broken_Clock  Respond to of 78416
 
It get's scarier...



Report: Israel gives Syria ultimatum



London-based Arabic language newspaper Al-Hayat says Israel gave Syria 72 hours to stop Hizbullah’s activity, bring about release of kidnapped IDF troops. ‘Israel will not end military activity until new situation created that will prevent Syria, Iran from using terror organizations to threaten its security,’ newspaper quotes Pentagon official as saying
Roee Nahmias



The London-based Arabic language newspaper Al-Hayat reported Saturday that “Washington has information according to which Israel gave Damascus 72 hours to stop Hizbullah’s activity along the Lebanon-Israel border and bring about the release the two kidnapped IDF soldiers or it would launch an offensive with disastrous consequences.”


The report said “a senior Pentagon source warned that should the Arab world and international community fail in the efforts to convince
Syria to pressure Hizbullah into releasing the soldiers and halt the current escalation Israel may attack targets in the country.”


Al-Hayat quoted the source as saying that “the US cannot rule out the possibility of an Israeli strike in Syria,” this despite the fact that the Bush administration has asked Israel to “refrain from any military activity that may result in civilian casualties.”



'Hizbullah made the same mistake'



The report also mentioned that President George W. Bush has repeatedly put much of the blame for the recent escalation on Syria.


“It is no coincidence that the Hizbullah operation comes at a time when the international community is working to impose sanctions on Iran due to its nuclear program and settle the score with Syria by establishing an international court to try those behind the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri,” the Pentagon source said.


According to the source, Hizbullah made the same mistake as Hamas when it did not predict the ramifications of its actions and ignored the regional and international changes since the fall of Saddam Hussein.


The source said that Israel has indicated that it “will not end its military activity until a new situation is created that will prevent Syria and Iran from using terror organizations, such as Hamas and Hizbullah, to threaten its security.”