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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (191959)	7/18/2006 9:44:40 AM
From: michael97123	Respond to of 281500

Israel seems to have adopted a buffer strategy in lebanon as well as in gaza. Unfortunatley if folks like hizbollah can import 10,000 rockets from iran and syria with greater range and accuracy, what good is a buffer? It works with hamas and gaza where such imports would be almost impossible. It cant work with lebanon unless L cracks down on hizbolla and the insidious iranian relationship. What i dont get is why there are no ground battles raging on the border as of yet. In order for L to control things H must be crushed. Any cease fire before that happens makes this exercise by the israelis just plain dumb. Perhaps H soldiers have taken off their garb and have blended back into the population? Anyone have any ideas on this.

To: Hawkmoon who wrote (191959)	7/18/2006 11:38:15 AM
From: Bilow	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 281500

Hi Hawkmoon; Re: "Earlier, the IDF mobilized a reserve infantry division in preparation for a possible ground incursion into south Lebanon, The Jerusalem Post has learned. The move was intended as the beginning of a new effort to push Katyusha rocket launching cells away from the Israel-Lebanon border." Well, it's a start. Do you know how many divisions Israel called up in 1982? Here's a place to learn: globalsecurity.org I think that calling up a single infantry division is indicative of a leadership that does not want to go into Lebanon. It's a reasonable move, but it's not preparation for widening the war. Like so many civilians, Olmert may think that Israel can achieve its aims by air power alone. There is no doubt that Lebanon is far better prepared now than it was in 1982. Technological advantages for Israel keep slipping, and now the Iraqis have been learning lots of techniques for dealing with armor. I would think that in preparation for an invasion of Lebanon, Israel would call up somewhere between 5 and 10 divisions. Getting into a war piece by piece is not generally considered wise strategy. -- Carl