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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elmer Phud who wrote (207293)8/1/2006 1:45:07 PM
From: PetzRespond to of 275872
 
ephud, I think you will make more by suing Intel for securities fraud than by holding on to your Intel stock and selling calls on it, if the following is true:
eetimes.com
Report: Intel chip glut swells inventory

Spencer Chin
EE Times
(08/01/2006 11:15 AM EDT)

MANHASSET, N.Y. —
Excess stockpiles of PC microprocessors and core-logic chipsets caused surplus semiconductor inventories to rise more than expected in the second quarter, with Intel Corp. contributing much of the excess inventory, according to data from from iSuppli Corp.'s Semiconductor Inventory Tracker service.

The report noted that excess semiconductor stockpiles in the supply chain rose to $2 billion the second quarter, up 77.6 percent from $1.1 billion the first quarter, exceeding iSuppli's guidance of $1.3 billion of excess inventory.

so there is 700M of "excess inventory" in the supply chain and this inventory rose 900M from end of Q1 to Q2

The $2 billion is the highest since inventories swelled to $1.6 billion the third quarter of 2004. However, the level is not alarming as much of the excess inventory can be attributed to Intel rather than being an industry-wide problem, according to iSuppli.

-------------------------------------------------------

So the increase in Intel's supply-chain inventory must be at least $0.5B -- any smaller amount and the glut could not be "mostly Intel."

But what did Andy Bryant say in the CC?

Some of the decline also can be attributed to customers working through first quarter inventory. We believe we have met our goal to get customer inventories of our products in balance with business levels and in an appropriate mix for our new product ramp.

OR, straight from the earnings release...

Sequential revenue in all of the company’s major regions was below normal seasonal patterns. Microprocessor unit sales were below seasonal patterns as customers reduced their processor inventory levels to seasonally appropriate levels in a highly competitive pricing environment.

Bryant says customers REDUCED their inventory of Intel products. The earnings release even blames Intel's poor results on customer inventory liquidation!

EETimes says, they balooned by half a $BILLION.

Without this excess of $500M sales to customer inventories, Intel would have missed the bottom of their revenue range by 7% and had an EPS of less than $.10.

Intel has deceived its investors yet again.

Petz



To: Elmer Phud who wrote (207293)8/1/2006 4:05:08 PM
From: Gopher BrokeRead Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
Hard to say but AMD will likely remain a viable company

Yeah, these days the question mark is over Intel's viability, isn't it. How long can they keep on producing all this dumpster silicon without incurring losses?