SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Road Walker who wrote (298809)8/8/2006 8:59:52 AM
From: Taro  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1578303
 
San Diego isn't doing well either. In particular the condo market is a drop dead and now they are trying to rent out those new ones with no purchasers as well as old rentals converted to (unsellable) condos now being up for rent!

In our neighborhood Point Loma things should be better, but the other weekend I drove by a local road crossing 5 "Open House" signs were competing for attention.

Prices for homes in San Diego have gone up too far for young families, who are skipping out and missed as potential clients.

Taro



To: Road Walker who wrote (298809)8/8/2006 11:16:52 AM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1578303
 
Total listings in Pinellas, Hillsborough and Pasco have hovered around 35,000 as monthly sales struggle to break 4,000. A year ago listings stood about 9,000, roughly 6,000 of which sold.

Tampa has roughly a 4 year backlog. Builders will have to cut back construction significantly. Now this is where it gets tricky......what percentage of employment is the construction industry? With Tampa, I suspect its an important metric in the job market but not to the point where it kills job growth. On the other hand, I suspect with places like Port Charlotte and south it plays a much bigger role......the more jobs lost, the smaller the demand for housing. That means it will take just that much longer to finish off the housing overhang. I think Florida in general is in for some slower growth for the next 2-4 years. I think SW Florida tbat slowdown will be six or more years. Now if that were repeated in every housing market in the country, the US would be in big trouble. Fortunately, that's not what's happening. In fact, in markets like LA, DC, and NYC prices are still going up just not has fast. And in places like Seattle and Portland, prices are going up double digits percentage.

The housing market isn't out of the woods yet but a soft landing looks probable if nothing changes dramatically in the next year.