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Strategies & Market Trends : Ride the Tiger with CD -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rubbersoul who wrote (60010)8/29/2006 7:53:58 AM
From: TrueScouse  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 313020
 
John:

I like Stroud (SDR) too. I "selected" them at the last PDAC, instead of the other one I was looking at -- ARU (at 60 cents!!!) Ah well, you win some you lose some. I then declined to buy ARU at $3 because I thought it was too expensive. <ng>

Meanwhile, SDR has just sat there. But the reason I went for SDR is that their boss/geo was very available to chat and I was leaning towards silver rather than gold plays at the time. Meanwhile Keith Barron of ARU was never in the booth when I went there so I took that as bad karma. :^(

But SDR has a great property in Mexico and they should be coming up with some drill results soon. If their exploration pans out, there could be 300 million oz of Ag there. The only downside is a big float.

Hope to see you again soon.

Best regards,
Howy



To: rubbersoul who wrote (60010)8/29/2006 7:35:21 PM
From: zoo york  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 313020
 
Hi John!

I think CS is going to be a fast mover this fall. I spoke with IR last week and they are ramping up production quickly, now at around 1000 tpd. At that level the operating results are going to be strong, but once they get up to 1500 tpd before the end of the year, CS will be a cash factory. I hear they are also bringing in 3 more drills and working to define a larger ore reserve. That may be enough to create takeover interest.

My expectation is for at least a double from the current price range. But I would not rule out even stronger performance, if the company is able to report cash flow in the range of 15 cents a share for the first quarter of production. Annualized, they could easily generate 70 cents per share in positive cash flow and I think that would support a share price of $5-$7 depending on the economic outlook.

I passed on Stroud a couple of years ago, but I may have to take another look at it. Their property is right next to the BGL Cinco Minas project, and that makes the story of interest to me. I am pretty sure BGL is going to surprise a lot of people that wrote their project off because TM.V made such a hash of the exploration program before BGL got involved. Once the market figures out what they have there, then surrounding projects like Stroud will get some interest too.

cheers!

COACH247