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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ild who wrote (69913)	9/19/2006 12:47:09 PM
From: orkrious	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 110194

@the sacking of Steve Jones -- trotsky, 12:34:58 09/19/06 Tue without judging the merit or lack thereof of Jones' research into the WTC collapse, the sacking of the man is a strong message by officialdom to all 'mainstream' questioners of the official 9-11 storyline: do NOT make waves, or you'll suffer. it's the type of protection the truth generally does not require. let me add that i'm just as suspicious of many of the conspiracy theorists claims as i am of the official storyline (to my mind, the official storyline is at the very least designed to conceal gross incompetence of the authorities , and imo one must remain open to the possibility that more than that is concealed) - i only note that shutting up critics in this manner is a clear sign that someone simply doesn't want the matter to be discussed - which only serves to create more suspicion. @heavy metals -- trotsky, 11:32:56 09/19/06 Tue the heavy metals look heavy again today, but one notable exception is lead. lead built a corrective triangle that suspiciously looks like the one gold is in now - the only difference is that lead is now almost back at its ATH. it took off like a rocket from its correction low. it's possible (i haven't looked at this yet in detail) that lead is a leading indicator for the metals in general. philbond@NGT dividend -- trotsky, 10:40:10 09/19/06 Tue in view of this: October NG contract, weekly they are unlikely to be able to keep the dividend at its current level. otoh, the seasonally strong period for NG is now beginning. then again, that's what we thought about gold as well. almost every market is currently running counter to the normal seasonal trends. # # @economic data -- trotsky, 10:30:48 09/19/06 Tue PPI tame, housing starts plunge by 6% - no surprise there, the bubble has clearly burst. this week's FOMC meeting is very likely the last of 'standing pat and waiting for incoming data'. the only ingredient that's still missing to induce a renewed rate cutting panic a la 2001 is a fall in the stock market. the B wave from the '02-'03 lows looks remarkably similar to the early 1970's B wave that ended in early '73 (at a then slight new ATH for the Dow). the subsequent bear market produced a 56% nominal and nearly 70% real terms decline within two years.