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Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pcyhuang who wrote (54)9/22/2006 11:57:23 AM
From: Kirk ©  Respond to of 27068
 
Thanks
I agree with your take on the markets but I don't change my asset allocation much. I pretty much have a fixed allocation, usually about 70:30 equities:fixed, then goose it with higher beta stocks to get a beta of about 1.5 (for my newsletter portfolio). Then I try to have enough different securities in it so something is usually going up so I can take profits and then buy what is down, hold in cash or wait for a new company I find to hit my buy targets. I have a pretty good long term record so I have not looked to change what has worked, but I am always looking to improve, especially if I find anything compelling.



To: pcyhuang who wrote (54)9/30/2006 12:23:57 PM
From: Kirk ©  Respond to of 27068
 
Return Numbers

mindmeld posted these numbers which I assume are without dividends reinvested:
Message 22864240

SP500
2003 = 28.7%
2004 = 10.9%
2005 = 4.9%
2006 YTD = 7.0%

Dow
2003 = 28.3%
2004 = 5.3%
2005 = 1.7%
2006 YTD = 9.0%

NASDAQ
2003 = 50%
2004 = 8.6%
2005 = 1.4%
2006 YTD = 2.4%

The broadly diversified NYSE is in a secular bull mode...



The trouble was in large cap growth and telecom... probably good sectors to consider going forward from here due to their huge declines.







Kirk



To: pcyhuang who wrote (54)3/11/2014 11:27:32 AM
From: Kirk ©  Respond to of 27068
 
Bond investors are getting bold chasing yield.

Puerto Rico Sets Coupon, Yield Range for $3 Billion Bond Deal
Puerto Rico Bonds Seen Yielding 8.625%-8.875% With 8% Coupon
Puerto Rico is expected to sell at least $3 billion in debt Tuesday in what would be the U.S. commonwealth's largest bond sale, an important step in the island's efforts to bolster its finances.

Bankers led by Barclays PLC, Morgan Stanley MS -0.12% and RBC Capital Markets closed the order period Monday for investors, who were expected to be largely institutional managers given the minimum order size of $100,000. The bond sale was announced last week at $3 billion with a final maturity of 2035.

Orders were strong, said people familiar with the deal, which means the size of the sale could increase.
...
The offering will be Puerto Rico's first debt offering since August and its largest general- obligation deal, which is backed by the island's pledge to use tax revenue to repay bondholders. Last week, investors said that dealers saw as much as $10 billion in demand for the deal, though it wasn't clear whether the orders were based on expectations of higher yields.

The rally is triggering sell signals for some investors who bought Puerto Rico debt as it plunged to distressed levels last summer. Among potential sellers is David Tawil, co-founder of hedge fund Maglan Capital, which bought some Puerto Rico bonds in August.

"It doesn't pay for us to hang in there further," Mr. Tawil said. "There is not a lot of upside from here" for the territory's bond prices, he said.
...

Puerto Rico has been racing to fix its fiscal deficit by overhauling pensions, cutting spending and raising taxes. Gov. Alejandro Garcia Padilla has cut the current year's projected deficit by $170 million to $650 million and said he would introduce the island's first balanced budget in many years for fiscal 2014-2015.

But the territory's finances have been challenged for years, raising concerns among some investors. Puerto Rico has lost more than 10% of its nonfarm employment since its recession began in 2006, according to Fitch Ratings. Its unemployment rate was 15.5% in December. Meantime, the island's Economic Activity Index, which measures general economic activity, was down on a year-over- year basis every month of 2013, the rating firm said.


Google "Puerto Rico Sets Coupon, Yield Range for $3 Billion Bond Deal" for full story.