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Politics : Actual left/right wing discussion -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JBTFD who wrote (3418)10/23/2006 12:08:46 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10087
 
Population seems like it will slow down. Fertility is dropping.

Energy use in the west? I could see a either a slowdown of the growth trend, or a blip against the trend (or both) but I don't see any reason why the overall trend is not sustainable for quite some time.

Note: In the time frames I'm talking about a "blip" could be a generation (or even more) and if so that could be quite painful. If oil runs down faster than alternatives ramp up you could have an actual reduction that would not seem to be anything like a blip for the people living through it, but in terms of the longer overall trend (possibly thousands of years old, at least hundreds, and possibly lasting thousands or millions of years in to the future) even a two generation decline would be a blip. I don't actually foresee anything like such multigenerational decline, I do however see how it is possible, esp. if governments try to artificially limit price increases on oil or refined products, or act as barriers to the development of energy alternatives.