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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mistermj who wrote (207023)10/26/2006 4:59:47 PM
From: jttmab  Respond to of 281500
 
It is true because there is nearly an infinite supply of human capital, technology, efficiencies and subsitutions to be made over time.

You never talk about that half of the equation.


Go ahead. Predict what technologies, efficiencies and substitutions will be made and in what years they will be made.

..and thats why Hubbert's predicitions are always wrong.

Who is making the right predictions?

jttmab



To: mistermj who wrote (207023)10/26/2006 5:38:11 PM
From: Keith Feral  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
The replacement of reserves is not keeping up with the demand for oil, pure and simple. We can oversupply the market in the short term to act like there is not a long term problem, but oil companies are under no obligation to produce reserves at unacceptable returns. Even the coal companies are hacking back production for next year. There is no reason to produce excess reserves.



To: mistermj who wrote (207023)10/26/2006 6:06:15 PM
From: Noel de Leon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Hubbert's prediction for peak oil production in the USA was correct. His techniques are used to predict peak oil for world wide production. Read the book.