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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rolla Coasta who wrote (10750)10/28/2006 11:00:53 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 217631
 
read the book again ...

they had a monetary issue, of too much paper money



To: Rolla Coasta who wrote (10750)10/29/2006 1:48:14 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217631
 
Food will initially be much cheaper during a collapse.

Later, after the farmers go bust, expect to see some strong differentiation by food types.

Tree crops, which require high initial investment, but low upkeep, and can be harvested by labor, will remain plentiful and cheap.

Most tree crops don't store well, with the exception of frozen orange juice and some types of nuts.

So these farmers don't have the option of siting on inventory.

Crops which require the annual input of seed, fertilizer, operating machinery, and harvesting machines, will become less availible.

Now many farmers have found they can skip a year or two of applying fertilizer, or apply only 1/4 the normal fertilizer, with only 5-10% drop in yields the next year. After a year or two, yields drop sharply unless fertilizer is applied.

Most grains can be stored for a number of years.

I remember one farmer and commodity speculator from Canada who was furious at one of thier wheat boards. This board limited their purchases, keeping the price to farmers low.

After they bought all of the harvest, they were able to wait only a few months, to then sell the crop at much higher prices.

I believe it took about 5-6 years into the great depression in the US before grain prices started to rise.



To: Rolla Coasta who wrote (10750)10/30/2006 11:21:25 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217631
 
btw, a news report saying "U.K. Report: Warming Will Damage Economy" forbes.com is bullish, for gold, as the officialdom will undoubtedly try to counteract global warming by ... printing fiat money, naturally.

So, amidst printing of fiat cash for all the powerful and effectively unstoppable reasons:

- global warming
- demographical doom
- clash of civilizations
- global equalization of cost and revenue
- ...
- ...
- peak oil

... gold ought to do quite well, and do so without management risk ;0)